Economy

Revisit the Caution Flag

A month or so ago, I discussed the statistical probability of a change of the bullish stock market trend during the coming months. The view at that time was clearly uncertain.  The indexes had plummeted during the last half of January until February 3, a minus 5.76 percent drop for [...]

By |March 12th, 2014|Categories: Economy|

Sector Rotation

Last week, I discussed the advisability of examining periodic corrections or pull-backs in the stock indexes. Particularly when January results are negative, one should be ready for the end of a bullish trend. From what occurred last week, the weather forecast for stocks looks better again, just like our physical [...]

By |February 19th, 2014|Categories: Economy, Investment Management|

Be On Guard

Even though the stock market indexes have recovered some of their losses suffered this year, it is too early to be certain whether the shorter term bullish trend has changed to the downside, or this is just another pause that refreshes. When a bull market thunders ahead too far for [...]

By |February 15th, 2014|Categories: Economy, Investment Management|
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