I made some prediction for 2018 in an Examiner article dated on January 3, 2018. Since we are nearly at the half-way point for the year, it seems as good a time as any to review those predictions and either stay committed or change course. Overall, I was convinced that [...]
The water cooler topic of the week has probably been the dramatic movements downward in the stock market. It’s been a wild ride, that’s for sure. While scary, we hope to provide proper perspective. Market volatility has been historically low now for the better part of the past year. Not [...]
Everyone loves a good forecast. Problem is they are hard to come by -- good forecasts. Like the broken clock, they are likely to be right twice a day. In reality, a positive market forecast has about a 70 percent chance of being right on the overall direction. In most [...]
Through last Friday’s markets close, the stock indexes have already had a great year. Dow, up 26; S&P 500, up 20; NASDAQ 100, up 31 percentages. Yes, we may still be only a Tweet away from disaster, but Mr. Market obviously has liked the change in business climate. Other [...]
A few weeks ago, I described the stock market January Effect test as an indicator of the probable direction of indexes for the rest of 2017. Since one-twelfth of the year has zoomed by, let’s look to see what happened. By the way, the indicator is infinitely more accurate than [...]
I must be getting very mature in annual lap counts. Even though I do not feel old at all, the New Year’s Day celebrations are clicking off with but a few days in between them. Seems like a couple of months ago that I was saying good riddance to 2015 [...]
During the first quarter of 2016, stock ownership provided a roller coaster ride. Last week I railed against the Fed’s free money policy and its consequences. This week we examine whose ox was gored and whose geese were golden. In the short term, I think Mr. Market will continue to [...]
I dislike complaining or whining. But if I were ever going to complain about something, it would be the lousy investing climate of 2015. On the whole, it was a great year for our family and it might still be finished fantastically with the birth of our seventh grandchild, our [...]
This year will probably go down in history as having decent returns in terms of the usual stock market indexes. In my prior market history lessons, you may have learned (and undoubtedly forgotten—no fault of your own) that the presidential pre-election year is most often a great year, the best [...]
I am not a huge fan or expert on basketball. However, I think the second most important factor next to scoring is rebounding after a failed shot. Not every shot is good, but the rebound allows an opportunity to keep the ball, shoot again, and deny the other team [...]
